2026 Playoff Scenarios
Standings are final through week 21. One week remains — 12 categories per matchup. Drag any matchup to split those 12 categories and the board re-sorts live. Spots 1–4 are already clinched; you are playing for the last two.
A tie counts as half a category for each side, so every slider moves in half steps and the two totals always add to 12.
Points = category wins + ½ per tie, which matches Yahoo's Pct column exactly. Teams level on points are separated by the categories they won head-to-head.
| # | Team | Pts | Pct | Mv | Status |
|---|
Category points needed in week 22, out of 12. To clinch means in regardless of every other result, with ties broken by the categories the tied teams won head-to-head. To stay alive is the least that still leaves a path.
| Team | Pts now | To clinch | To stay alive | Week 22 opponent |
|---|
Teams finishing level on points are separated by the categories they won head-to-head — add up the categories each took in the weeks those two actually played, week 22 included if they meet in it. This is not the same as who won more of those matchups: two meetings of 7–5 and 4–8 look like a 1–1 split, but on categories they are 11–13. The categories decide it.
| Pairing | H2H categories | As matchups | Takes the spot |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCOOPSKI – Rosa Parks | 20–4 | 2–0 | SCOOPSKI |
| SCOOPSKI – OG | 13–9 | 1–0–1 | SCOOPSKI |
| SCOOPSKI – Rickie Flower | 11–12 | 1–1 split | Rickie Flower |
| Rickie Flower – OG | 14–10 | 1–1 split | Rickie Flower |
| Rickie Flower – Rosa Parks | 16–8 | 2–0 | Rickie Flower |
| Rickie Flower – Ian Cumsler | 8–15 | 0–1–1 | Ian Cumsler |
| Rosa Parks – OG | 12–11 | 1–0–1 | Rosa Parks |
| Rosa Parks – Ian Cumsler | 16–7 | 2–0 | Rosa Parks |
Every tie that can happen at the cut line is decided — there is no scenario where two teams end level on points and level on head-to-head categories.
Rickie Flower is why the clinch numbers are what they are. Rickie split the season series with both SCOOPSKI and OG as matchups, but wins both on categories — 12–11 and 14–10. So SCOOPSKI taking 6.0 in week 22 leaves them level with Rickie's ceiling of 133.5 and losing the tiebreak, and OG taking 11.0 does the same. Half a category more and the tie never happens, which is exactly why the numbers are 6.5 and 11.5.
Hatfield, Shatnermouth and Moniebol cannot reach the top six under any combination of results. Hatfield is the close one, and the reason is the coupling between matchups. Their ceiling is 122.5, and SCOOPSKI's floor of 127.5 already sits above it — that is one team. For a second, note that OG and Cumsler play each other, so their point gains must add to exactly 12: if OG stalls at 122.5 then Cumsler necessarily lands on 125. At least one of those two finishes above 122.5 no matter what, which is the second team above Hatfield's ceiling. Drag every slider to its extreme and you will find no arrangement that puts them in.